Tuesday, December 14, 2021

Double Dipping should be Illegal and Broker Fees Capped at 5%

For those that don't know, Double Dipping refers to a real estate broker practice where they end up representing both the home owner selling a property, and the home buyer who is seeking to purchase the same property. Normally they only get 5% of the sale value, but double dipping on the commission gives them 10%.

It really should be illegal.

And it is super unethical.


#1. Because it ends up favouring the home owner and unfairly raising the price of the property (and consequently contributing to housing bubbles).

#2. Because the broker ends up wanting a higher price so they can collect 10% of the total value (instead of the usual 5%), they're going to be biased towards hiding anything wrong with the property.

Eg. Hiding whether the property is on a flood plain, has a history of mold problems, and the roof is leaking. The double dipping broker, who wants the house to sell for more, isn't going to want to mention anything that is wrong with the house that the home buyers really should be aware of before making a purchase.

#3. Normally what you are supposed to do is have one broker representing the buyer and one broker representing the seller, and they're meant to be separate and each of them have a fiduciary duty to represent their client's interests, but when the broker represents both they are invariably biased towards the homeowner and will ignore the seller's best interests in order to get a higher sale price.

So in the example cited above, let's say someone owns a house that is on a flood plain (thanks to clay stratification), and the roof is leaking and the house has a history of mold problems... If the real estate broker is unethical and double dipping, they're not going to want to mention these three problems to any potential home buyers.

#4. Real estate brokers who are double dipping actively encourage bidding wars, knowing that if a property goes for a lot more they get 10% of that. This in turn adds to the real estate bubble, and ultimately hurts the buyer.

In Ontario double dipping is currently legal and unregulated.

If any politicians are reading this and they want to get more votes for their political party, listen well.

Make double dipping illegal and cap individual broker fees at 5%.

Then... Make it retroactive for the last 5 years and force real estate brokers who sold any houses using double dipping to issue a refund for 5% of the value of all properties they sold during that time period, giving the money back to the home buyers who got ripped off.

Politically this will lead to lots of votes for the political party who hammers this home. All the home buyers will definitely think about voting for the party that gives them an extra $50,000 or more if the house was worth $1,000,000 or more. And even if the property was $500,000, they're not going to complain about getting an extra $25,000.

That amount of money getting pumped back towards home owners will boost the economy, punish the unethical brokers, and help to soften Ontario's real estate bubble which could burst if too many things happen that hurts the market.

Who will complain?

Only the rotten real estate brokers who were doing something unethical and something that really should have been illegal in the first place. The ethical brokers won't complain. Only unethical ones will complain.

This is really something that should have been made illegal a long time ago.

Having separate brokers for the seller and buyer is a necessity, just like having separate lawyers in a divorce. Without that separation the middle man will always favour the person which is going to end up giving them more money, and that bias will lead to them hiding things.

Moral of the Story:

Buyer Beware. Double Dipping Real Estate Brokers are way worse than used car dealers. They're absolute snakes.

They make politicians look decent in comparison.

Friday, December 10, 2021

Our House in on a Floodplain. Why? Clay Stratification

Our house in North York/Toronto is on a floodplain.

I learned this recently thanks to a helpful neighbour. I was walking home from dropping off my son at school, and one of our neighbours was doing the same after dropping off his son, and we were both looking at the new construction of a building near the school.

The new building has a giant basement. Two stories. Something similar to an "iceberg home" where most of the house is actually below ground.

My neighbour was laughing at it however and predicted that it was going to get flooded...

And that was when I learned our entire neighbourhood was on a floodplain.

It wasn't something we were told about when we leased the property, but it is definitely an issue.

Now you might think, like I did: "Wait, isn't our house on a hill? How can it be on a floodplain?"

The problem is the soil.

Clay Stratification

Most drainage issues are caused by clay soil. A minor issue will be that you have standing water after a heavy rainfall for less than a day, and it will be more noticeable in your front yard and backyard. Clay soil is more dense than sandy or loamy soil, and therefore, is slower to allow rainwater to filter through it.

Clay Stratification is when you have multiple layers of dense clay, the result of millions of years of rainfall, rivers and flooding, etc. When one layer of clay stratification becomes flooded it acts like a barrier, so that water above it just sits there and can only move sideways, but not down.

Get too much water all at once, and the next thing you know your basement is flooded because it acts like a well where the water can collect. Many basements aren't designed to withstand that much water trying to get in. This is a big problem for many parts of Toronto because clay stratification is actually surprisingly common.

Why does Toronto have so much clay stratification?

Go back 12,000 years ago and all of Toronto, the GTA and the Great Lakes region was under a big inland sea. As time went by the water levels receded and it left behind layers of clay bits and loamy bits, resulting in many layers of clay and loam.

Factor in that Toronto is also effectively an ancient river delta, and yeah... That's a lot of clay.

So what can you do about it?

Knowledge is key.

#1. You need to ask "Is this property on a floodplain?"

And make a note of how the owners respond.

#2. Get it in writing.

Because people do lie about floodplains and it can lead to lawsuits when people later find out that they bought property on a flood plain. (Or bought a house with mold problems. Or bought a house with termites. The previous owners need to be disclosing these problems.)

#3. Ask "What steps have been taken to prevent flooding?"

Because chances are likely if your property is in Toronto, then it is probably on a flood plain. Even if it is on top of a hill.

#4. Get home owners insurance.

But you might also get other types of insurance too. Eg. Buyer's Title Insurance for example. Or Mortgage Insurance if you are getting a mortgage.

And flood insurance if you are in a high risk location.

Basement Flooding on the Rise thanks to Climate Change

Yeah... So this isn't a problem that is just going to go away. Places that aren't traditionally thought as being flood prone these days are getting flooded anyway. Climate Change means that Toronto now has a rainy season from April to May.

And we can still get large deluges of water thanks to freak rainstorms like that one on July 8th 2013.

I was outside when that flood happened. Toronto got 126 mm of rain in only a few hours. And while that doesn't seem like much, remember that water flows downhill and will flood basements, parking garages, subway stations, floodplains, lower streets, etc along the way.

Here's some video of what happened on July 8th 2013:

Thursday, November 18, 2021

Real Estate Bubble making Canada's Wealth Gap Worse

Canada's real estate bubble is going to burst. It is just a matter of when.

With the pandemic and other factors fueling housing prices, plus rampant speculation, it is really just a matter of time before housing prices become unaffordable and the market collapses under economic pressures.

And if you look around at all the economic pressures, you know it is going to happen.

The bubble has to burst. Toronto and Vancouver rank up there with San Francisco and Los Angeles for the most expensive real estate markets, and while Canada's market has been stable... Our median incomes haven't been going up enough to justify the rapid increases in home prices.

Eventually the wealth gap between rich and middle class will make it impossible for even middle class people to afford a house unless they take out huge mortgages they cannot afford. And when the next big recession hits...

Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Super Basements and Iceberg Homes

 Iceberg Homes are pretty much what you imagine them to be. Houses that are bigger below the ground than they actually appear to be. It is a growing trend in architecture (especially for homes belonging to billionaires) where they build a massive underground structure, but have lots of room to store all their things... And for entertaining guests / having parties.

Basically it is just another way for the rich to show off their wealth.

There's only one major flaw: They tend to get flooded easily. Definitely need flood insurance.

Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Our New House - Renting Vs Buying during a Housing Bubble

 Back in April of this year my wife, my son and I moved into a new house. It isn't our dream home, but it has a great backyard, a large front yard, lots of space, great amenities nearby, conveniently close to work...

I gotta admit I love this house.

However there is 1 big problem. It is a rental.

We are renting a house for almost $4000 per month, and while that is a good chunk of change, we see it as a transition between where we are now and buying a house later on.

It would be nice to buy a house (in Toronto), but let's face it the housing prices right now are ridiculous (in Toronto), and I really don't want to buy a house (in Toronto) because I am worried the housing market (in Toronto) will implode any moment.

See the problem?

Toronto's housing prices have become so overheated and ballooned into a giant housing bubble where even if we can afford to buy a house, I wouldn't want to because what if the housing bubble implodes?

We could end up buying a house, it implodes, and we lose the house and every dollar put into it through no fault of our own.

And mark my words, a housing bubble implosion is coming. It even has a name:


Or something like that. Something Babyboomer in the name. The Great Babyboomer Bubble?

Yeah. I like that. Let's use that. The Great Babyboomer Bubble.

So here's what is going to happen.

During the next 10-20 years a lot of babyboomers are going to start dying off due to old age (or possibly COVID because 10% of them didn't get vaccinated) or moving into elderly homes and selling their old homes, and this in turn will cause a surplus of houses being put on the market.

At some point this surplus of houses will reach a tipping point, at which point the housing bubble will implode. Housing prices will drop significantly within months.

This will then trigger a second wave of sell offs... from foreign investors. And from domestic investors too, but most of the housing investments is from foreigners.

Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal have seen huge ballooning in housing prices thanks to foreign investors who buy houses, rent them out, and then watch the housing prices skyrocket - so they're making money two ways: Money from the rental, money from their investment going up in value.

But what happens when the market goes in the opposite direction?

Buying a house suddenly gets cheaper, which means people renting can finally afford to buy a house, but they're going to wait until the market bottoms out before doing so.

The investors meanwhile are trying to sell their houses in a hurry before the market bottoms out, which means they need to SELL NOW. Right away. So they drop their prices in hopes of getting a faster sale.

But when many investors (and babyboomers) sell their houses all at once it results in too many houses becoming available at the same time. The babyboomers will be the catelyst, but the foreign investors dumping their properties back on the market is what will cause a downward spiral in housing prices.

When it finally bottoms out... That is when my wife and I will finally decide to buy a house (in Toronto).

Or the other alternative is that we buy a house outside of Toronto, somewhere that the prices are more reasonable.

You would have to be really dumb to buy a house in Toronto right now.

Hence why my wife and I are renting. When the housing prices finally collapse (and they will, just look at the chart below to see how big the Toronto housing bubble has become in the last 15 years) we can expect the average house price in Toronto to drop to approx. $400,000, give or take a few.

So remember when the Great Babyboomer Bubble bursts and you own a house, please think of me... And how I warned you not to buy right now.

And for all of you homeowners who are thinking of selling... Yes, you should sell NOW while the prices are still high.

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